Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
LHA
1 - 1
MON
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1997 |
MON
4 - 0
LEV
52%
25%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
MON
3 - 2
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
MPL
0 - 2
MON
28%
26%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1997 |
SCP
3 - 0
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
BAS
5 - 1
CAN
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
SLB
0 - 0
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
REN
2 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
0 - 0
MET
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 0
SLB
35%
27%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |