Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
30%
28%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1995 |
STR
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
MON
0 - 2
LYO
59%
23%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
LHA
1 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
GIR
1 - 3
BAS
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
BAS
4 - 0
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
NIC
3 - 1
BAS
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCM
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |