Monaco vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
GIR
3 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
LSO
4 - 2
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
MON
2 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
ANG
1 - 4
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
MON
4 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 1
STL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
LYO
1 - 1
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 1
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |