Monaco II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
AND
3 - 0
MON
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
GAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MON
3 - 1
LYO
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
FRE
44%
27%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 0
OLY
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
FRE
3 - 0
SPO
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 2
GAP
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
SPO
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
HYE
0 - 0
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |