Mombeltran vs Guisando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mombeltran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MOM
1 - 0
COL
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
MOM
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOM
5 - 0
PIE
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
MOM
13%
18%
70%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOM
3 - 1
HOY
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guisando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 2
RAM
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 3
PIE
56%
20%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 7
GUI
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
HOY
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARE
3 - 2
GUI
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |