Molodechno vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
OSI
0 - 2
MOL
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MOL
4 - 0
GOM
60%
21%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
DIN
2 - 4
MOL
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MOL
0 - 1
FCS
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
KRU
1 - 2
MOL
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SMO
1 - 1
LID
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
SMO
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ZOR
3 - 0
SMO
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SMO
2 - 4
BEL
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
GOM
3 - 1
SMO
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |