Molinense vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MOL
0 - 4
CAR
17%
23%
61%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
IMP
3 - 0
MOL
79%
15%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
MOL
2 - 1
LAS
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MOL
0 - 4
AGU
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 2
MOL
80%
15%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
JUM
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
JUM
4 - 0
CDB
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
BFC
1 - 3
JUM
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
JUM
1 - 0
BAL
44%
27%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MME
3 - 1
JUM
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |