Molinense vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
JAV
2 - 0
MOL
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MOL
1 - 1
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ALQ
2 - 2
MOL
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MOL
3 - 1
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PUT
2 - 2
MOL
57%
22%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ABA
1 - 2
CEU
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MIN
1 - 2
ABA
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ABA
2 - 0
LOR
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ABA
1 - 0
CUA
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CIE
2 - 3
ABA
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |