Molinense vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
HOR
1 - 4
MOL
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
JUM
0 - 0
MOL
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
MOL
2 - 3
CDB
62%
20%
17%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MME
0 - 0
MOL
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MOL
1 - 0
IMP
27%
26%
46%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 0
CIU
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAL
48%
27%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CAL
2 - 4
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CAL
0 - 2
LOR
22%
26%
52%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |