Molinense vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
MME
5 - 0
MOL
85%
12%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
MOL
0 - 2
YEC
14%
23%
64%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LUM
3 - 0
MOL
28%
27%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOL
4 - 0
CAL
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
OLI
2 - 0
MOL
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CDB
2 - 1
BAL
12%
24%
64%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
BAL
6 - 1
BFC
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BAL
4 - 5
AGU
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MME
1 - 1
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |