Molinense vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
MUL
2 - 0
MOL
17%
25%
58%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
MOL
2 - 1
ORI
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MME
2 - 1
MOL
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
MOL
2 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
AFC
1 - 0
MOL
39%
27%
35%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ALQ
4 - 0
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
HOR
3 - 1
ALQ
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ALQ
0 - 0
ARO
27%
27%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
BUL
4 - 2
ALQ
62%
23%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ALQ
1 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |