Molgas ADF vs UP Taboadela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PAD
3 - 0
MOL
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MOL
2 - 2
OUT
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LOB
1 - 0
MOL
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MOL
8 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MOL
2 - 0
VIA
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
UP Taboadela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TAB
1 - 1
OUR
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TAB
1 - 1
RAL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TAB
4 - 3
MUI
57%
21%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PIÑ
3 - 1
TAB
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ABO
1 - 3
TAB
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |