Molgas ADF vs Arnuid CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MOL
2 - 2
ALL
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
MOL
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MOL
0 - 0
ABO
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VID
4 - 3
MOL
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arnuid CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 3
CAR
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ABO
3 - 1
ARN
54%
22%
25%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 8
VID
49%
23%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 4
ARN
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |