Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-5
Molde FK vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
1 - 2
IKS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
FKJ
2 - 1
MFK
26%
23%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
0 - 0
SDF
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
1 - 0
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
ELP
0 - 0
MFK
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
YOB
1 - 2
STU
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
STU
2 - 1
TWE
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
SVS
1 - 1
STU
3%
11%
86%
|
87 | 11 | 76 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HOF
1 - 1
STU
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
STU
2 - 2
M05
66%
21%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |