Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 3-3
Molde FK vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MFK
0 - 0
S08
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
VKG
3 - 0
MFK
38%
26%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ODD
2 - 2
MFK
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
MFK
3 - 3
DZG
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
MFK
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
SDL
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SDL
1 - 0
WAA
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
ZEL
0 - 1
SDL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SDL
2 - 1
ZUL
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
SDL
2 - 1
ZEL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |