Molde FK vs Sparta Sarpsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
MOS
0 - 0
MFK
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MFK
2 - 1
SOG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
MFK
4 - 1
LOV
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
RAU
1 - 2
MFK
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
MFK
3 - 2
BRY
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 0
HAU
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
TRO
0 - 2
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
BOG
2 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
KON
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SKE
1 - 3
SPA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |