Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
15º
9º
22
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 5.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MFK
1 - 2
BOG
44%
23%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MFK
0 - 4
KRI
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
WAR
2 - 0
MFK
36%
24%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
MFK
3 - 2
WAR
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
MFK
1 - 1
RAN
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HÄC
0 - 4
S08
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
S08
0 - 0
MJÄ
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
HAM
1 - 2
S08
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
S08
0 - 0
BRY
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
S08
0 - 1
KON
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |