Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MFK
2 - 0
BBS
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOG
2 - 2
MFK
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
MFK
3 - 0
STR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MFK
1 - 0
HAU
78%
15%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ODD
1 - 0
MFK
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
STR
5 - 2
S08
32%
25%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
S08
6 - 1
SDF
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SOG
3 - 4
S08
19%
21%
60%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
RBK
0 - 3
S08
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
S08
1 - 3
VKG
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |