Molde FK vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MFK
2 - 2
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
STB
1 - 1
MFK
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MFK
0 - 0
ODD
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 2
MFK
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
MFK
0 - 0
VKG
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
S08
1 - 1
VKG
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BBS
1 - 0
S08
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
S08
0 - 2
TRO
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
STB
2 - 0
S08
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
S08
1 - 4
FFK
30%
25%
44%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |