UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 5-1
Molde FK vs Pyunik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
MFK
0 - 1
HAU
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
S08
1 - 4
MFK
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
RBK
1 - 1
MFK
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
MFK
3 - 0
KVI
89%
9%
2%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MFK
0 - 0
VIF
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
PYU
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
PYU
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PYU
3 - 2
MIK
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
PYU
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
PYU
3 - 1
GAN
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |