Molde FK vs KFUM Oslo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
15º
9º
18
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 3
MFK
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
IFK
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
0 - 1
VKG
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
BBS
0 - 3
MFK
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
HAM
2 - 1
MFK
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KFUM Oslo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
LSK
2 - 0
KFU
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KFU
5 - 0
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
RBK
1 - 1
KFU
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
KFU
0 - 1
VIF
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
BRY
0 - 2
KFU
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |