UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Molde FK vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STB
0 - 1
MFK
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
MFK
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MFK
5 - 1
S08
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VIF
0 - 4
MFK
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MFK
3 - 1
S08
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 2
HJK
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
MFK
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
ILV
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
HJK
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |