Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-2
Molde FK vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
ELP
0 - 0
MFK
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
STB
4 - 3
MFK
58%
21%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
MFK
1 - 3
SOG
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
MFK
3 - 3
LSK
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
KON
3 - 1
MFK
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
FKJ
1 - 2
JFK
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
VEN
2 - 1
FKJ
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
FKD
1 - 1
FKJ
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
FKJ
4 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
FKJ
4 - 0
SKB
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |