Moldavia U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MDA
2 - 2
GEO
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 0
MDA
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
MDA
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
LVA
1 - 1
MDA
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MDA
1 - 0
FRO
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SVK
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
AUT
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
GER
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
DEN
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
IRL
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |