Fehérvár II vs Paksi SE II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
15º
14º
34
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
72.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fehérvár II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MHC
3 - 0
MOL
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 5
NAG
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
MOL
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 4
FCD
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
IVA
3 - 1
MOL
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Paksi SE II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAK
4 - 6
NAG
36%
21%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 3
PAK
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAK
5 - 2
GVC
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PTE
0 - 2
PAK
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 3
SZE
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -2 |