Moitense vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
11.4%
84.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
14.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.9%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moitense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOI
2 - 1
ANC
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
2 - 0
ESA
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -3 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 5
MOI
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MOI
3 - 0
PES
14%
19%
66%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
MOI
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 2
BOA
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
SPB
3 - 1
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPB
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SPB
3 - 1
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
CRV
2 - 1
SPB
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |