Moimenta da Beira vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
MOI
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 1
COI
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
MOI
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 2
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CIN
0 - 1
MOI
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
VSC
0 - 2
UNM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNM
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 2
OLH
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 0
UNM
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 0
PEN
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |