MOIK vs Səbail II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
8º
44
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MOIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
3 - 0
MOI
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
MOI
3 - 2
ENE
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MOI
0 - 4
SEB
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 3
MOI
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
MOI
2 - 4
FKQ
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Səbail II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 2
ARA
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SFK
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 0
TUR
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ZIK
2 - 2
SFK
30%
23%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 2
FKS
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |