MOIK vs FK Neftchala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MOIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MOI
1 - 2
SUS
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LBA
1 - 0
MOI
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
4 - 1
MOI
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
MOI
4 - 1
TUR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
MUG
1 - 0
MOI
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Neftchala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BAK
0 - 0
FKN
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
FKN
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
FKQ
3 - 0
FKN
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 1
FKQ
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 1
SUS
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |