MOIK vs Bakili analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MOIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCA
0 - 0
MOI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
MOI
3 - 0
GEY
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 1
MOI
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
MOI
3 - 1
SUS
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FKQ
0 - 0
MOI
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bakili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAK
0 - 0
LBA
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAK
2 - 2
ENE
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAK
1 - 1
SHA
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAK
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAK
1 - 3
FKQ
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |