Mohun Bagan SG vs Punjab FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
8º
1º
28
2º
8º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MOH
0 - 4
MBS
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
MBS
1 - 0
BEN
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
0 - 0
MBS
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
JAM
1 - 1
MBS
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MBS
1 - 0
EAS
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Punjab FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MIN
3 - 2
BEN
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 2
JAM
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
MUM
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
KER
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |