Mohun Bagan SG vs Punjab FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
1º
24
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
DEL
0 - 4
MBS
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MBS
2 - 2
MOH
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MBS
0 - 2
SOU
84%
13%
4%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MBS
2 - 0
USC
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 18 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
MBS
4 - 1
CCF
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Punjab FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
SDF
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
BEN
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KER
3 - 1
MIN
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 0
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RAJ
0 - 4
MIN
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |