Mohun Bagan SG vs Kerala Blasters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
1º
33
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
MBS
1 - 4
GOA
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MUM
2 - 1
MBS
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
MBS
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
MAZ
1 - 0
MBS
8%
16%
77%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MBS
2 - 2
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kerala Blasters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
KER
2 - 0
MUM
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 1
KER
23%
26%
52%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GOA
1 - 0
KER
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
KER
3 - 3
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
KER
1 - 0
HYD
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |