Mohun Bagan SG vs Goa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
7º
3º
27
2º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 0
MBS
14%
22%
65%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 0
MBS
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MBS
1 - 0
JAM
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
MBS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MBS
1 - 0
HYD
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Goa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
JAM
2 - 2
GOA
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GOA
2 - 1
NOR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 0
DEL
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
MUM
4 - 1
GOA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GOA
0 - 2
BEN
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |