Mohun Bagan SG vs Bengaluru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
7º
3º
34
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MBS
2 - 0
DEL
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
MBS
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MBS
0 - 1
MUM
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
MBS
2 - 1
GOA
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 0
MBS
14%
22%
65%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bengaluru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
JAM
0 - 3
BEN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 1
DEL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
BEN
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 1
BEN
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |