Mohammedan SC vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
4º
1º
14
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohammedan SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHU
0 - 0
MOH
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 1
MOH
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MOH
1 - 1
GFC
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOH
2 - 1
SDF
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
KAS
0 - 2
MOH
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NER
3 - 4
RAJ
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CHU
4 - 1
NER
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NER
1 - 3
KAS
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
DFC
3 - 4
NER
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
NER
0 - 4
RKF
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |