Moguer CD vs SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
ICR
3 - 3
MOG
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOG
2 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
REP
0 - 0
MOG
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
MOG
0 - 1
CDF
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
OVA
1 - 2
MOG
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ayuntamiento Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALJ
2 - 5
CAN
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BEA
5 - 2
ALJ
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ROC
5 - 0
ALJ
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ALJ
2 - 3
ICR
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 3
ALJ
56%
21%
23%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |