Moguer CD vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UDP
3 - 1
MOG
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 2
AYA
52%
24%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
CDP
3 - 2
MOG
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 3
ICR
43%
25%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 0
MOG
38%
24%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NER
3 - 1
CDC
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
REP
1 - 2
NER
49%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NER
1 - 1
ZAL
45%
24%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NER
0 - 1
CAM
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NER
1 - 2
PUM
33%
24%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |