Moguer CD vs CD Cerreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 2
MOG
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOG
4 - 0
ALM
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 0
MOG
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOG
2 - 1
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
MOG
44%
23%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 2
REP
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 3
ARO
58%
21%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
CDC
30%
23%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
ALM
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 1
OVA
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |