Moguer CD vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
MOG
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MOG
1 - 1
ZAL
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 0
MOG
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 2
MOG
18%
21%
60%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
1 - 1
BEA
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 3
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
BEA
1 - 3
ARO
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
ALJ
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ICR
4 - 3
ARO
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 4
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |