Moguer CD vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MOG
1 - 2
POZ
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MOG
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 0
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 2
MOG
33%
25%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MOG
6 - 1
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ARO
2 - 2
LOR
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
ARO
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 2
ARO
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ARO
0 - 0
OCF
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ARO
3 - 2
RIO
51%
23%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |