Moguer CD vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
MOG
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
EBR
0 - 3
MOG
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MOG
2 - 1
ICR
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MOG
1 - 2
OVA
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
THA
2 - 1
MOG
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
ARO
1 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CDP
2 - 1
ARO
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ARO
0 - 3
ATC
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARO
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ARO
1 - 1
MOG
17%
21%
63%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |