UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 6-0
Mogren vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 2
MOG
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
JED
1 - 2
MOG
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 0
JEZ
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PET
0 - 3
MOG
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 0
KOM
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 2
MOG
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2009 |
BIR
0 - 4
HIB
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 0
SLI
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HIB
2 - 0
FLO
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |