Mogren vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 4
MOG
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
MOG
2 - 1
MTA
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
MTA
2 - 0
MOG
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
MOG
2 - 0
UES
49%
22%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
UES
0 - 3
MOG
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 0
MOR
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
DEC
0 - 1
LOV
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
DEC
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 1
ZET
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 1
DEC
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |