Mogren vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
GRB
3 - 5
MOG
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MOG
1 - 0
LOV
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
MOG
2 - 1
KOM
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ZET
1 - 0
MOG
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MOG
2 - 2
BUD
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 1
ZET
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 1
DEC
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 2
RUD
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
DEC
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 3
PET
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |