Mogon CF vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
66.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+640%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogon CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MOG
3 - 2
CDU
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LCA
10 - 0
MOG
81%
13%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MOG
0 - 1
MAR
15%
21%
63%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CPH
1 - 0
MOG
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MOG
1 - 1
CAZ
27%
24%
50%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BAE
2 - 0
CDR
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BAE
1 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAE
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
BAE
1 - 0
LIN
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LAG
1 - 0
BAE
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |