Mogon CF vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+638%
+155%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogon CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
5 - 0
MOG
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 2
CDT
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 2
MOG
82%
13%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MOG
4 - 3
JOD
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
4 - 1
MOG
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BAE
5 - 0
CDV
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LAG
0 - 0
BAE
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BAE
3 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
4 - 2
BAE
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAE
0 - 1
CLO
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |