Mogoditshane Fighters vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogoditshane Fighters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
MOG
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
MOG
1 - 2
GAB
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 2
ORA
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MOG
1 - 1
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 4
SES
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
BOT
58%
22%
19%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOW
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 2
MAS
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |