Mogi Mirim vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 0
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 0
MOG
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
MOG
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
CRA
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 2
MOG
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 1
PAU
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
XVD
36%
25%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 2
XVD
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 1
PPE
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 1
COM
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |