Mogi Mirim vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 1
MOG
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOG
1 - 2
JUV
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MOG
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
YPI
0 - 0
MOG
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOA
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
VEL
48%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 2
VEL
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |